Update 1-April-2010                             Economic Simulator  © 2000











 

 

 

 

stoper

Tamari attractor Economic simulator

  The Equations

  X' =  ( X - a Y ) cos ( Z )  - b Y sin ( Z ) ,                    X=O, the  output.   Conservative equations

  Y' =  ( X + c Y ) sin ( Z ) + d Y cos ( Z ) ,                    Y=M,  the money.   Cremona equations
-------------------------------------------------------------             -----------------------------------------------------

  Z' =  e + f z +  g arctan [ ( 1 - u ) Y  / ( 1 - i ) X ]          Z=P,  the pricing     feedback equation

 

source: Ben Tamari (1997). Conservation and Symmetry Laws and Stabilization Programs in Economics, p. 17.

 

Comparison among 26 Chosen Countries 1960 - 2008.
The test is a Roentgen like, or MRI like. The parameters ( a, b, c, d,) for each country were found through regressions. The exchange ( e), the unemployment (u) and the interest rates ( i) are multi-annual geometrical averages and the indexation parameter (f = 0.01) and velocity of circulation parameter (g = 1) are arbitrary and constants. Analysis and study of the variables Output, Money and Pricing (O, M, P,) and invariables (a, b, c, d , e, f, g, u, i) of each country show its position in the Economic Space (ES).

The trajectories of 26 chosen countries together, data 1960 -2008.

Economic Simulator

 

As Tolstoy would say
All Health families (economies) resemble one another, but each Pathological family (economy) is unhealthy in its own way .

 

Table 1: Rates of Change of Growth o, Printing m, Inflation p, Theoretical Inflation p* and Deviation d, (%) 1960 - 2008.

Country

Growth
  
o

Printing
   m

Inflation
   p

Theoretical Inflation
p*=m-o

Deviation
d=p-p*

Australia         

  3.59

  9.11

  5.31

  5.52

  - 0.22

Canada

  3.63

  9.18

  4.24

  5.54

 - 1.30

China  1981 - 2008

 10.13

20.23

  5.88

10.10

 - 4.22

Colombia

  5.01

21.62

 16.67

 16.61

   0.06

Denmark

  2.38

  9.62

  5.26

  7.24

 - 1.98

India

  5.07

13.31

  7.47

  8.24

 - 0.77

Indonesia

  5.23

32.33

30.29

27.10

   3.19  spillover inflation (bubble)

Iran

  5.80

21.09

14.16

15.28

 - 1.13

Israel

  5.98

33.35

27.25

27.37

 - 0.12

Japan

  4.18

10.42

  3.60

  6.24

 - 2.64  

Korea (South)

  7.06

22.08

  9.07

15.02

 - 5.96 

Mexico

  4.33

26.76

20.28

22.44

 - 2.15 

Morocco

  4.00

11.81

 4.89

7.81

 - 2.92 

Norway

  3.52

10.65

  5.05

  7.13

 - 2.08

Pakistan

  4.59

14.36

  7.85

  9.77

 - 1.92

Peru

  3.53

60.34

 56.75

56.80

 - 0.05

Philippines

  3.98

14.10

  9.56

10.12

 - 0.56

Russia 1995 - 2009   4.38 33.47  21.21  29.09  - 7.88  depress inflation

Singapore

  7.69

10.00

  2.65

  2.31

   0.34  

South Africa

  3.28

14.60

  8.63

11.32

 - 2.69  

Sweden

  2.71

  8.61

  5.08

  5.90

 - 0.82

Switzerland

  2.28

  5.94

  3.01

  3.67

 - 0.66

Turkey

  4.58

39.75

33.94

35.18

 - 1.24

United Kingdom

  2.48

12.11

  6.11

  9.64

 - 3.52  

United States

  3.16

  5.18

  4.13

  2.02

   2.10   

Venezuela

  3.49

 25.18

18.42

 21.69

 - 3.28  

Average

  4.50

 19.0

13.0

 14.50

 - 1. 50

Source of data: Processed by the author from data of  "International Financial Statistics" YEARBOOK,  IMF.

Table 2: The Coefficients a, b, c, d , J (Jacobian) 1960 - 2008.

Country

Coefficient a    Inertia

Coefficient  b Productivity

Coefficient  c Printing

Coefficient  d Adaptation

Ecometer
 J = ad - bc

 Australia

1.033292

    0.000006

   3.634805

 1.056174

 1.091313

 Canada

1.050458

 - 0.077026

 - 0.003300

 1.091452

 1.146271

 China 1981-2008

1.091333

   0.017684

   0.045887

 1.079150

 1.176901

Colombia

1.033142

   0.000035

   5.499911

 1.118737

 1.155621

 Denmark

1.026392

 - 0.001997

  0.062601

 1.060142

 1.088246

 India

1.039570

   0.000560

  0.156278

 1.148644

 1.194008

 Indonesia 

1.040191

   0.000004

 83.695651  Pathology.

 1.111522

 1.155893

 Iran

1.023369

   0.000013

 51.462874

 1.149082

 1.175241

 Israel

1.044564

 - 0.000006

   4.725022

 1.134870

 1.185473

 Japan

1.041042

 - 0.007054

   0.124526

 1.023012

 1.065877

 South Korea  

1.077433

 - 0.000011

316.212365 Path.

 0.945176

 1.021839

 Mexico

1.034180

 - 0.000001

204.477371 Path.

 1.103298

 1.141120

 Morocco

1.029683

   0.000004

 - 9.543970

 1.125130

 1.158567

 Norway

1.039718

 - 0.001952

   0.205888

 1.043482

 1.085330

Pakistan

1.046601

   0.000000

- 366.826831 Path.

 1.218572

 1.275351

Peru

1.016547

   0.000159

   5.266400

 1.121140

 1.138855

 Philippines

1.028555

   0.002654

   0.081697

 1.107798

 1.139214

 Russia 1995-2009 1.042734    0.000115     8.563549  1.102783  1.148925

 Singapore

1.116539

 - 0.000128

-114.85564   Path.   

 1.368878

 1.513653

 South Africa

1.021265

   0.000004

  74.189137

 1.104302

 1.127480

 Sweden

1.027709

 - 0.000422

 - 0.108354

 1.095026

 1.125322

 Switzerland

1.016710

   0.002032

 - 0.001916

 1.066385

 1.084208

 Turkey

1.040676

   0.000008

  28.273509

 1.124429

 1.169929

 United Kingdom

1.026105

 - 0.000156

 - 0.100312

 1.138264

 1.167962

 United States

1.040329

 - 0.001109

   0.821537

 0.980901

 1.021370

 Venezuela

1.021221

   0.000054

 19.393102

 1.316461

 1.343355

Average

1.040360

 - 0.002559

 12.132761

 1.112877

 1.157590

Source of data: Processed by the author from data of  "International Financial Statistics" YEARBOOK,  IMF.

 

 

Table 3: The Coefficients: Exchange Rates e, Indexation f, Unemployment u and Interest i, 1960 - 2008.

Country

Exchange Rates (per $)       e Indexation
  
f
Unemployment
  
u
Interest (lending rate)
 
i

Australia

     0.60 0.01    7.36   11.64

Canada

     0.20 0.01    8.40    8.09

China 1981-2008

     5.34 0.01    3.07    7.58

Colombia

    12.590.01   12.30  29.99

Denmark

  -  0.50 0.01   6.05    3.72

India

     4.72 0.01    n.a.  14.70

Indonesia

     9.070.01    n.a.  20.00

Iran

    10.57 0.01    n.a.  14.66

Israel

    22.91 0.01    8.48  85.35
Japan  - 2.57 0.01    3.54    5.68

Korea

   6.14 0.01    3.36    9.67

Mexico

  15.20 0.01    2.74  17.53

Morocco

   0.89 0.01   14.40    8.29

Norway

 - 0.42 0.01    3.87    6.92

Pakistan

   5.77 0.01    5.56    7.53

Peru

  46.99 0.01    5.89 347.81

Philippines

   6.65 0.01    9.38  14.70
Russia 1995-2009   14.87 0.01    8.96  50.46

Singapore

 - 1.50 0.01   4.11   5.82

South Africa

   5.23 0.01  22.19   13.17

Sweden

   0.51 0.01    5.22  10.95

Switzerland

 - 2.87 0.01    2.75   4.98

Turkey

  28.08  0.01    8.43  40.82

United Kingdom

   0.86 0.01   6.42   8.16

United States

   0.89 0.01   5.91   7.84

Venezuela

 - 0.90 0.01  11.13  27.06

Source of data: Processed by the author from data of  "International Financial Statistics" YEARBOOK,  IMF.


stoper

 

The Eco2 software  - application of tamari attractor - enables the study of the economy of a country. The function of the software is the performance of simulation in the economy of states: analysis, planning, prediction and comparison of the economy of states, according to the state's data as found in the International Financial Statistics (IMF) for the years 1960-2007, for 20 chosen countries.

Download Eco0, only Lorenz and Tamari attractors, without the countries.

 

Economic simulator Guide

Eco - Economic Simulator - is  designed for 5 purposes:

*

How to Operate the Simulator

The default is Economic Simulator, based on Tamari Attractor in the Attractors menu. The first country to appears is Ecoland, an imaginary (ideal) country. After that Ecoland comes a list of another 20 countries (the samples) the last one of which is the average of the all the 20 countries in the sample called World (data taken from IMF 1960-2007).

You can choose another country - on the list - for simulation and practice.
You can also compare different countries by changing the setting in the accumulated countries box.
The best way to start comparing trajectories among countries is to put the number 3000 in the iterations box.

If you don't recognize the attractor tool you can get an idea about it by choosing another attractor from the list on the Attractors menu.
(see also www.bentamari.com/attractors ).

By changing parameters, operations, and initial conditions you will get the feeling, sensitivity, and spirit of what it is all about.

The method of eco is described in the site http://www.bentamari.com in the pages ecometry and attractors .


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