Update 10 September 2011 Economic / Trade / Business Cycles © 2000
Cycles Quotes
T. S. Eliot ( 1934) "Collected Poems 1909 - 1962, Opening Stanza from Choruses from 'The Rock'" p. 147.
The Eagle soars in the summit of Heaven,
The Hunter with his dogs pursues his circuit.
O perpetual revolution of configured stars,
O perpetual recurrence of determined seasons,
O world of spring and autumn, birth and dying!
The endless cycle of idea and action,
Endless invention, endless experiment,
Brings knowledge of motion, but not of stillness;
Knowledge of speech, but not of silence;
Knowledge of words, and ignorance of the Word.
All our knowledge brings us nearer to our ignorance,
All our ignorance brings us nearer to death,
But nearness to death no nearer to GOD.
Where is the Life we have lost in living?
Where is the wisdom we have lost in knowledge?
Where is the knowledge we have lost in information?
The cycles of Heaven in twenty centuries
Bring us farther from GOD and nearer to the Dust.
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Willford I. King (1938) "The Causes of Economic Fluctuations" The Ronald Press, p. 244.
If the oscillations in business are dominated by forces following some mathematical formula, whether that formula be one representing a composite of sine curves or otherwise, the pattern of business must to a considerable extent be repetitive in nature and hence predictable. For any curve, or combination of curves, represented by mathematical formulae, can be reproduced indefinitely into the future.
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g Erwin Schrödinger (1944) "What Is Life ?" Cambridge, p. 77.
The unfolding of events in the life cycle of an organism exhibits an admirable regularity and orderliness, unrivalled by anything we meet with in inanimate matter.
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Globalization + Computerization = Tzunamization. (9 October 2008 )
●
Evolution of form is birth and death, construction and destruction, trail and error, ..... on forever.
But accompanied by a self-correcting mechanism / feedback.
(01 January 2003)
The main finding is : The average cycle of Growth is 5.5 years , The average sunspots cycle is 11 years.
Source of data: Processed by the author from the data of "
International Financial Statistics
" YEARBOOK (IFSY), IMF.
No adjustment or filters were used to process the data, just the rates of change of the data themselves
.
The economic cycles of Canada 1961- 2008.
The economic cycles of Colombia 1961- 2008.
The economic cycles of Denmark 1961- 2008.
The economic cycles of India 1961- 2008.
The economic cycles of Indonesia 1961- 2008.
The economic cycles of Iran 1961- 2008.
The economic cycles of Israel 1961- 2008.
The economic cycles of Japan 1961- 2008.
The economic cycles of Mexico 1961- 2008.
The economic cycles of Morocco 1961- 2008.
The economic cycles of Norway 1961- 2008.
The economic cycles of Pakistan 1961- 2008.
The economic cycles of Peru 1961- 2008.
The economic cycles of Philippines 1961- 2008.
The economic cycles of Singapore 1961- 2008.
The economic cycles of South Africa 1961- 2008.
The economic cycles of South Korea 1961- 2008.
The economic cycles of Sweden 1961- 2008.
The economic cycles of Switzerland 1961- 2008.
The economic cycles of Turkey 1961- 2008.
The economic cycles of United Kingdom 1961- 2008.
The economic cycles of United States 1961- 2008.
The economic cycles of Venezuela 1961- 2008.
First harmony - USA as a leader (locomotive) with United kingdom, Canada and South-Africa.
Second harmony - Japan as a leader (locomotive) with Denmark, Philippines, Singapore, Sweden and Switzerland.
We can call this harmony/adjusted countries: Commerce/Economic Group. Between any two members of the group there is the operation/relation X
(X for exchange).
USA commerce/economic group Japan commerce/economic group
Books:American Economic Association Series (1950) "Readings in Business Cycle Theory".
Burns A. F. and Mitchell W. C. (1946) "Measuring Business Cycles", New York, National Bureau of Economic research.
Dewey E. R. and Dakin E. F. (1947) "Cycles: The Science Of Prediction", Henry Holt and Company, NY.
Dua Pami (Editor) (2004) "Business Cycles and Economic Growth", Oxford UP.
Hicks J. R. (1950) "A Contribution to the Theory of the TRADE CYCLE", Oxford.
Hansen Alvin (1951) "Business Cycles and National Income", Norton, NY.
Hurst J. M. (1974) "Cyclic Analysis", Traders Press.
Pierre-Yves Hénin (1981) "Macrodynamics Fluctuations and Growth", Routledge & Kegan Poul.
Puu Tönu (1991) "Nonlinear Economic Dynamics", 2ed., Springer-Verlag.
Puu Tönu and Sushko Iryna (Editors) (2006) "Business Cycle Dynamics", Springer.
Rosser J. Barkley (1991) "From Catastrophe to Chaos: A General Theory of Economics Discontinuities", Kluwer Academic Publishers.
Schumpeter A. Joseph (1939) "Business Cycles", McGraw-Hill, NY.
Links
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Business_cycle
http://www.wikinvest.com/concept/U.S._Economic_Cycles
http://solarscience.msfc.nasa.gov/SunspotCycle.shtml
http://www.colorado.edu/Economics/courses/econ2020/section7/section7-main.html
